With Tampa’s lagging attendance and with few teams interested in bringing a 43-year-old quarterback on board, Brady’s signing at first had the appearance of a business decision for both parties. Now, this combination looks to have real championship potential. 

Brady’s arrival in Tampa Bay has also generated interest from other NFL players that now want to explore the possibility of signing with the Buccaneers according to ESPN’s Adam Schefter. One of the reasons that Brady cited for leaving New England was his frustration at the lack of offensive weapons that were available to him.

Will Antonio Brown Be On Tampa Bay Buccaneers Roster For Week 1 Of The 2020 Season?

Odds provided by Bovada

• Yes +375
• No -650

Antonio Brown’s sudden departure from the Patriots roster after one game in 2019 severely hampered the potential output and scoring potential of the entire offense. Brady was in favor of giving the troubled veteran receiver another chance in New England, but that never came to fruition.

Although the speculation of Brown and Brady reuniting in Tampa Bay has provided enough passion for inspiring oddsmakers to create a prop bet on the occurrence, the odds are not favorable for this to happen. A wager of $650 will earn a payout of $100 if you bet on Brown to join the Buccaneers, and it happens.

Odds to Win NFC South

(Odds provided by BetOnline)

• New Orleans Saints -125              
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers +200     
• Atlanta Falcons  +600     
• Carolina Panthers +1400

There’s no question that Brady will add many extra elements to the Tampa Bay offense. The aspect of Brady’s game that will cause the most immediate impact is his accurate passing. 2019 Buccaneers’ starter Jameis Winston threw for a league-leading 30 interceptions.

The Buccaneers finished with a record of 7-9 in 2019, which will undoubtedly be improved upon with better ball control. The team will also experience better all-around leadership, as well as increased accountability for offensive skill-position players.

Oddsmakers didn’t get carried away, though. Their odds of overtaking the New Orleans Saints and winning the NFC South are slim.

Odds to Win the NFC Championship

(BetOnline)

• San Francisco 49ers +450            
• New Orleans Saints +600             
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers +850     
• Dallas Cowboys +1000   
• Philadelphia Eagles +1000           
• Seattle Seahawks +1000              
• Green Bay Packers +1200            
• Minnesota Vikings +1400             
• Los Angeles Rams +1600              
• Chicago Bears +2000      
• Arizona Cardinals +2200              
• Atlanta Falcons +2500   
• Detroit Lions +4000        
• New York Giants +4000 
• Carolina Panthers +6600              
• Washington Redskins +6600       

Oddsmakers may have gotten carried away with these NFC Championship predictions. Has Tampa already significantly improved their team’s chances before taking a snap of pre-season practice? Yes. Are they now in the upper echelon of the NFC? Perhaps, but it is hard to rate them over the likes of the Seattle Seahawks and Green Bay Packers.

Not only that, but they are now registering at +1200 odds to win Super Bowl 55, ranking them 5^th among the league’s 32 teams. The time to get in on super bowl futures betting odds is now, as the Brady hype is offering higher American odds on good teams that have a legitimate chance at winning the super bowl.

Green Bay and Seattle are at +1800 each and are coming into the 2020 NFL season at full strength, ready to take another crack at a Super Bowl title. Consider this. A wager of $100 will earn a payout of $1800 if you place a wager on Green Bay or Seattle and they win the Super Bowl. Go ahead and place a $100 bet on each and cover yourself!

Super Bowl 55 Winner

(Bovada)

• Kansas City Chiefs +500
• Baltimore Ravens +700
• San Francisco 49ers +750
• New Orleans Saints +1100
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1200
• New England Patriots +1800
• Green Bay Packers +1800
• Seattle Seahawks +1800
• Philadelphia Eagles +2000
• Dallas Cowboys +2000
• Buffalo Bills +2000
• Tennessee Titans +2400
• Pittsburgh Steelers +2500
• Minnesota Vikings +2500
• Indianapolis Colts +2800
• Los Angeles Rams +3000
• Chicago Bears +3500
• Las Vegas Raiders +4000
• Cleveland Browns +4000
• Los Angeles Chargers +4000
• Houston Texans +5000
• Arizona Cardinals +5000
• Atlanta Falcons +6600
• Denver Broncos +6600
• Miami Dolphins +7000
• Carolina Panthers +8000
• Detroit Lions +8000
• New York Jets +10000
• New York Giants +12500
• Jacksonville Jaguars +15000
• Cincinnati Bengals +15000
• Washington Redskins +15000

Or that’s what a lot of people have been saying lately anyways.

While those who say that have a convincing case, especially after being handed two straight losses from the Steelers and Dolphins, heading into Week 15, the Patriots have potentially the best value on odds to win Super Bowl 53 out of any of the playoff contenders.

Super Bowl 53 – Odds to Win

Super Bowl 53 Odds provided by Bovada.

• NFL Team                             SB53 Odds
• New Orleans Saints             +260
• Los Angeles Rams              +425
• Kansas City Chiefs              +550
• New England Patriots         +700
• Los Angeles Chargers        +750
• Chicago Bears                      +800
• Houston Texans                   +1800
• Pittsburgh Steelers              +1800
• Baltimore Ravens                +2700
• Dallas Cowboys                   +2700
• Indianapolis Colts                +3300
• Seattle Seahawks                +3800
• Philadelphia Eagles             +4000
• Minnesota Vikings               +4500
• Tennessee Titans                +6000
• Cleveland Browns               +15000
• Carolina Panthers                +20000
• Washington Redskins         +20000
• Miami Dolphins                    +25000

The Patriots (9-5) were +500 heading into Week 14 but fell to +700 after the loss on Sunday to the Steelers.

This is likely because the team is no longer in the driver’s seat to get the No. 2 AFC seed in the playoffs, losing a first-round bye and home-field advantage as a result.

The Texans (10-4) took the No. 2 spot from the Patriots, and the Chiefs (11-3) and Chargers (11-3) are in a dead-heat for the No. 1 seed, but since they are in the same division, one team will likely capture the top seed will the other will be a wild card team.

Regardless, the Patriots would need to beat the Bills and Jets and have the Texans lose one of their final two games against either the Eagles (likely) or Jaguars to reclaim the No. 2 seed.

Even if the Patriots don’t get the No. 2 seed, the +700 is still a great value because it presents an ideal time to hedge your bet on a Super Bowl winner.

If all things remained constant, the Patriots would face the Ravens in the first round, the Texans in the second round, and likely the Chiefs in the AFC Championship.

But let’s say the Pats swipe the No. 2 seed from the Texans in the next two weeks and everything else remains the same, Brady and company would likely play the Chargers in the second round and either the Texans/Chiefs in the AFC Championship.

Let’s not forget the Patriots beat the Texans 27-20 in Week 1 and handled the Chiefs 43-40 in Week 6 – both were played in Foxboro.

To find the probability of the Pats winning the Super Bowl based on the odds from Bovada, we’ll use 100 / (Odds + 100).

After entering in +700, we now know the Patriots have a 12.5% chance to win to all, according to Bovada.

But that’s the thing: We don’t need them to win it all. Instead, we just need them to make it to the Super Bowl.

If you bet 100 units on the Patriots to win it all this season at +700, and they do win Super Bowl 53, you’ll win a total of 800 units. Not bad for a team that won it two years ago and appeared in the big game last season.

However, the reason we want to hedge our bet is to guarantee a return on investment (ROI) and there’s a lot of ways this could play out, but to guarantee a profit, we must bet on the NFC champion in the Super Bowl – specifically, the money line as well.

Since there’s no way to tell which of the six NFC seeds will come out on top, it’s impossible to know what the money line will be.

Just remember: if we take the +700 on the Patriots now, and they make it to the Super Bowl, then anything up to -700 on the money line for the NFC Champion will be a profit – not bad for that’s been to more Super Bowls than any team this century.