Once the final seconds ticked off the clock in last Sunday’s NFC Championship Game, Super Bowl 58 betting lines debuted that favored the San Francisco 49ers by one point over the Kansas City Chiefs.
In less than four days since those pregame Super Bowl lines debuted, that spread has risen as high as 2.5 points at some NFL betting sites. There’s been similar movement on SB lines in the past, but not at this expedited rate.
Here’s the current Super Bowl LVIII betting line as of this writing at Bovada LV.
Super Bowl 58 Betting Line
Kansas City Chiefs (+2.0) vs. San Francisco 49ers (-2.0)
- Moneyline: Chiefs +112, 49ers -122
- Over/Under: 47.5
Super Bowl point spreads favored the Chiefs in SB LIV back in 2019 when they last faced the 49ers in the big game. Kansas City covered the spread, winning by 11 with a final score of 31-20. The under hit in Super Bowl LIV as both teams combined to score 51, as the total was set at 53.5.
The 49ers are bringing a similar, if not stronger defensive unit in 2024. They rank at or near the top in both pass and rush defense, and captured more interceptions than touchdowns allowed in the air.
San Francisco’s offense is balanced. QB Brock Purdy takes what opposing defenses give him, and running back Christian McCaffrey is one of the best in the game at toting the rock.
Kansas City’s offense, while not as explosive as in the past, is still led by quarterback Patrick Mahomes and tight end Travis Kelce. KC’s defense has stepped up this season, keeping the points low so the offense doesn’t have to work as hard.
While early betting on the 49ers has moved the point spread in their direction, there is reason for caution. They’ve struggled mightily in their two home playoff wins this year.
San Francisco needed 10 unanswered points in the 4th quarter to overcome the Green Bay Packers in the Divisional Round. The 49ers found themselves down by 17 against the Detroit Lions in the NFC Championship Game, rallying in the second half to win by 3.
Still, the overall health of the 49ers roster cannot be ignored. Their starting eleven on defense looks more like an All-Pro unit than one that belongs to one of the league’s 32 franchises.
They’ll need their best effort, however, because if there’s anyone who can carve up a defense like the 49ers, it is Patrick Mahomes.